CVS/ Amniocentesis for definitive diagnostic (not screening tets but confirmatory tets) :-All women with positive results of prenatal screening, and then karyotyping of a fetus (from CVS / Liquor amni) have to be done with amniocentesis. Using a sensitivity analysis method, it has been determined with high probability that a pathological value of the marker implies the presence of risk. Using a specificity analysis method, it has been determined with high probability that a normal value of the marker implies the absence of significant risk. Using a positive expected value method, it has been determined with high probability that risk is present only if the marker implies so. Using a negative expected value method, it has been determined with high probability that significant risk is absent if the marker implies so.
If the findings
of genetic screening evidence of risk of Down’s syndrome in the PRISCA software
greater than 1: 250, which is indicated based on prenatal karyotyping.
In a study it was
observed that in sample of 340 high-risk findings of the screening, there were
18 (6.1%) results with the
pathological values of NT markers.
Pathological PAPP-A
values were found in 174 (59.1%) cases.
Free beta-hCG showed
extreme values in 168 (57.1%) pregnant women.
Values of the markers are being usually reported in deviation from the median – MoM
(multiple of median).
The risk of Down’s
syndrome is shown in PRISCA software at two levels, the risk of biochemical
correlations of biochemical markers PAPP-A and free beta HCG and finite risk
adding the ultrasound marker NT. The results show the effect of each marker in
the formation of risk of Down’s syndrome, influence of biochemical markers on
biochemical and finite risk and impact of NT marker on the final risk.
Table I
Influence of PAPP-A marker on biochemical
risk.
PAPP-A MOM normal value |
PAPP-A MOM pathological value |
|
Risk-free |
98 |
86 |
Risk |
68 |
88 |
Sensitivity 0.5563 (probability 55.63%)
Specificity of PAPP-A
0.4815 (probability 48.15%)
Positive expected value
of PAPP-A 0.4615 (probability 46.15%)
Negative
expected value of PAPP-A 0.5759 (probability 57.59%)
Table II
Influence
of free beta HCG marker on biochemical risk.
Normal value free beta HCG |
Free beta HCG pathological value |
|
Risk-free |
109 |
77 |
Risk |
63 |
91 |
Sensitivity of free beta HCG 0.5909 (probability 59.09%)
Specificity of free beta
HCG 0.5860 (probability 58.60%)
Positive expected value
of free beta HCG 0.5416 (probability 54.16%)
Negative
expected value of free beta HCG 0.6337 (probability 63.37%)
Table III
Influence of PAPP-A marker on the final
risk (biochemical + NT).
PAPP-A MOM normal value |
PAPP-A MOM pathological value |
|
Risk-free |
145 |
139 |
Risk |
21 |
35 |
Sensitivity of PAPP-A 0.6250 (probability 62.50%)
Specificity of PAPP-A
0.5106 (probability 51.06%)
Positive expected value
of PAPP-A 0.2011 (probability 20.11%)
Negative
expected value of PAPP-A 0.8735 (probability 87.35%)
In the last two decades,
there have been numerous reports about the detection rate for different methods
of screening for trisomy 21. Detection rate of the risk of maternal age and
fetal NT is 75–80%, while the risk for age and biochemical screening of PAPP-A
and free beta HCG is 70%. The combination of age-related risk markers NT,
PAPP-A and free beta HCG increases the detection of trisomy 21 to 85–95%
The ability to achieve a
reliable measurement of NT is dependent on the appropriate training of
sonographers
Biochemical analyzers provide auto mated, precise and reproducible measurements. Presenting selectively the biochemical and ultrasound screening in the first trimester and representing a separate risk of sonographic and biochemical markers give a much better insight than the pure presentation of their combination. This type of screening is achieved by a policy in which the first-stage screening is based on maternal age, fetal NT and either tricuspid or ductus venosus flow, and biochemical testing is then performed only in those with an intermediate risk. An alternative first trimester contingent screening policy consists of maternal serum biochemistry in all pregnancies followed by fetal NT only in those with an intermediate risk after biochemical testing
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